Harris and Trump in a Dead Heat: New Polls Show Harris Gaining Momentum Among Key Voters

US President Joe Biden (L) has endorsed his Vice President Kamala Harris and she is the frontrunner to replace him

In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Harris and Trump were tied at 44% each in a July 15-16 Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted immediately after the July 13 assassination attempt on Trump. In that same poll, Trump led Biden 43% to 41%, though the 2 percentage point difference was not significant given the poll’s 3-point margin of error.

An average of recent polls reported by the New York Times shows Harris trailing Trump by 2 points, with 46% to Trump’s 48%, while Biden trailed Trump by three points, 44% to 47%.

Polling conducted in swing states after the assassination attempt on Trump and before Biden stepped down showed Harris hypothetically behind Trump by one point in Pennsylvania but leading by five points in Virginia. She polled better than Biden among women, younger voters, and Black voters, the New York Times reports.

According to an NBC News poll, Harris leads Trump among Black voters by 64 points, while Trump leads among white voters by 16 points, compared to a 14-point lead against Biden among white voters. CNN anchor Abby Phillip reports that 40,000 people joined a call organized by Win With Black Women, a collective of intergenerational, intersectional Black women leaders throughout the nation. Rodell Mollineau, a Democratic strategist and longtime congressional aide, says Harris will be able to mount “a more energetic campaign with excitement from younger voters and people of color.”

A former prosecutor, California attorney general, and U.S. senator, Harris could use “her years of litigation experience to effectively prosecute Trump in the court of public opinion,” Mollineau told Reuters.

Chip Felkel, a Republican strategist, told Reuters it would be a mistake for the Trump campaign to assume Harris could serve as a simple stand-in for Biden due to her potential appeal to different parts of the electorate.

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