An average of recent polls reported by the New York Times shows Harris trailing Trump by 2 points, with 46% to Trump’s 48%, while Biden trailed Trump by three points, 44% to 47%.
Polling conducted in swing states after the assassination attempt on Trump and before Biden stepped down showed Harris hypothetically behind Trump by one point in Pennsylvania but leading by five points in Virginia. She polled better than Biden among women, younger voters, and Black voters, the New York Times reports.
According to an NBC News poll, Harris leads Trump among Black voters by 64 points, while Trump leads among white voters by 16 points, compared to a 14-point lead against Biden among white voters. CNN anchor Abby Phillip reports that 40,000 people joined a call organized by Win With Black Women, a collective of intergenerational, intersectional Black women leaders throughout the nation. Rodell Mollineau, a Democratic strategist and longtime congressional aide, says Harris will be able to mount “a more energetic campaign with excitement from younger voters and people of color.”
A former prosecutor, California attorney general, and U.S. senator, Harris could use “her years of litigation experience to effectively prosecute Trump in the court of public opinion,” Mollineau told Reuters.
Chip Felkel, a Republican strategist, told Reuters it would be a mistake for the Trump campaign to assume Harris could serve as a simple stand-in for Biden due to her potential appeal to different parts of the electorate.